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City growth slowing
Christchurch’s population rose from
just over 309,000 to more than 316,000
people between March 1996 and March
2001, according to the latest Census. The information shows that city
growth is slowing, and is back to levels
seen in the decade between 1981 and
1991. The growth rate in the latest
Census period was 2.3 per cent,
compared to just under 7 per cent
between 1991 and 1996. Christchurch’s 1996-2001 growth rate
is in line with national trends, according
to information from the Census.
According to forecasts from Statistics
New Zealand, the city’s resident
population is expected to reach
358,000 by 2021. The prediction is that
the rate of growth will slow over this
time because fewer babies will be born
in comparison to the number of
people dying of old age, while the
numbers of people moving to live here
from other parts of the country and
overseas will be relatively low. Since 1996, the Census shows, the
greatest increases in population in the
city have been in the northern suburbs
and Ferrymead. Housing development
around the fringe of the city bear out
that finding. The inner-city areas of Phillipstown
and west St Albans have seen the
biggest falls in resident numbers. The
Templeton area has also seen a big
drop, likely due to the closure of
Templeton Hospital. Numbers of people living in the Central
City rose over the period by 10 per cent,
from about 6600 to almost 7300.
More people are living in the areas
surrounding the city. Waimakariri District,
with a rise of 14 per cent, had the
greatest growth. Selwyn’s population
was up by more than 10 per cent and
Banks Peninsula saw its resident numbers
rise by 3.3 per cent. That has meant the total population
of the three districts increased from
64,700 to more than 72,000. According to Statistics NZ, the
combined population of the city’s
neighbouring districts is likely to reach
90,000 by 2021. |